AC Milan

vs

Cagliari

Injuries & Suspensions

• Cagliari: M. Felici (Knee Injury), R. Idrissi (Knee Injury), J. Liteta (Thigh Injury), L. Mazzitelli (Calf Injury), L. Pavoletti (Knee Injury), M. Felici (Knee Injury), R. Idrissi (Knee Injury), J. Liteta (Thigh Injury), L. Mazzitelli (Calf Injury), L. Pavoletti (Knee Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W D L L W
• Away: L W D L W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2026-01-02 · Cagliari · 0-1 · AC Milan
• 2025-01-11 · AC Milan · 1-1 · Cagliari
• 2024-11-09 · Cagliari · 3-3 · AC Milan
• 2024-05-11 · AC Milan · 5-1 · Cagliari
• 2024-01-02 · AC Milan · 4-1 · Cagliari

Match Preview

Milan expected to control possession but Cagliari’s attacking injuries and low confidence could produce a narrow, low-scoring draw rather than a clear home rout.

Key Notes

AC Milan come into this fixture well placed in the table and with strong home numbers (20 wins, 10 draws, 7 losses). Cagliari have had a difficult season away (10 wins, 10 draws, 17 losses) and are hampered by multiple absences, which makes this an intriguing mismatch on paper - but the allowed market limits selections to draw or away, so the analysis focuses on why a draw is plausible.

Cagliari’s injury list is significant: M. Felici and R. Idrissi are missing with knee injuries, while J. Liteta, L. Mazzitelli and L. Pavoletti are questionable. Those absences remove key attacking options and limit set-piece and depth choices. That should reduce Cagliari’s ability to threaten Milan consistently.

However, AC Milan sometimes rotate late in the season and have had matches where they control possession but struggle to convert chances. The head-to-head history shows a mix of results - Milan have won comfortably in some meetings but have also dropped points and shared draws with Cagliari in recent encounters.

Given Cagliari’s depleted attack, you might expect a Milan win, yet the combination of Milan rotation risk, Cagliari’s tendency to sit deep and attempt to frustrate, and several recent low-scoring H2H fixtures points toward a cautious game. A draw is a reasonable outcome when expecting a tight scoreline and Milan failing to fully convert dominance into a decisive margin. Confidence is moderate: Milan are favourites on form, but match specifics and Cagliari’s defensive withdrawal support a draw as a realistic result.

Prediction

Draw • Odds 5.80 • Confidence 6/10