Aston Villa

vs

Brighton

Injuries & Suspensions

• Aston Villa: A. Garcia (Thigh Injury), B. Kamara (Knee Injury), J. McGinn (Knee Injury), Y. Tielemans (Ankle Injury), Alysson (Injury)
• Brighton: S. March (Knee Injury), S. Tzimas (Knee Injury), A. Webster (Knee Injury), M. Wieffer (Toe Injury), Y. Ayari (Shoulder Injury), J. P. van Hecke (Muscle Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: D L W L D
• Away: D D L D L

H2H (Last 5)

• 2025-12-03 · Brighton · 3-4 · Aston Villa
• 2025-04-02 · Brighton · 0-3 · Aston Villa
• 2024-12-30 · Aston Villa · 2-2 · Brighton
• 2024-05-05 · Brighton · 1-0 · Aston Villa
• 2023-09-30 · Aston Villa · 6-1 · Brighton

Match Preview

Aston Villa have the momentum and better home form; Brighton have injuries and Villa’s recent H2H edge makes the home win likeliest at 1.90 odds.

Key Notes

Aston Villa are the pick in this clash at Villa Park. They sit 3rd in the table with 47 points and have been one of the most consistent sides this season, shown by a run of wins and strong home performances. Villa’s form line reads strongly in recent months, and while they do have notable absentees (A. Garcia, B. Kamara, J. McGinn, Y. Tielemans), the squad still has quality and cohesion, especially at home where they dictate games.

Brighton arrive with a mixed sequence and several injury doubts (S. March, S. Tzimas, A. Webster), which undercuts their options, particularly defensively. Brighton have caused Villa problems in certain fixtures, but recent H2H results lean Villa’s way - Villa recently scored four in a 4-3 win at Brighton and have multiple favorable results in the past seasons. Brighton’s style can be disruptive, but playing away against a top-three side with momentum is a tougher ask when key players are missing.

Odds of 1.90 for a Villa home win represent reasonable value. Villa’s attacking templates remain dangerous even with some midfield rotation, and home advantage at Villa Park has been significant this season. Brighton will be competitive and could hit Villa on the break, so the game might not be a blowout; however, Villa’s depth and table position suggest they are likeliest to take three points.

Recommendation: Back Aston Villa to win. Consider pairing with a goals market if you expect an open game, but as a straight 1X2 selection the home win is the balanced, data-supported choice.

Prediction

Aston Villa win • Odds 1.90 • Confidence 7/10