Aston Villa

vs

LI

Lille

Injuries & Suspensions

• Aston Villa: Alysson (Inactive), B. Kamara (Knee Injury), B. Madjo (Inactive), Y. Tielemans (Ankle Injury), E. Buendia (Injury), M. Cash (Knock)
• Lille: M. Caillard (Injury), H. Igamane (Knee Injury), E. Mbappe (Thigh Injury), G. Perrin (Injury), O. Sahraoui (Injury), O. Toure (Knee Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W W W W
• Away: L W L W L

H2H (Last 5)

• 2026-03-12 · Lille · 0-1 · Aston Villa
• 2024-04-18 · Lille · 2-1 · Aston Villa
• 2024-04-11 · Aston Villa · 2-1 · Lille

Match Preview

Villa's excellent home form and recent H2H win in Lille make them favorites despite a few injuries; Lille missing key defenders.

Key Notes

Aston Villa enter this tie as clear favourites based on form and recent head-to-head history. At home Villa have recorded 8 wins and 1 loss, showing strong consistency in attack and defence. Their away-round victory in Lille earlier this month (1-0) reinforces a psychological edge: Villa know how to get results against this opponent in European competition.

Injuries are a factor but not decisive. Villa are missing central midfielders like B. Kamara (knee) and Y. Tielemans (ankle), and several squad players are inactive or questionable, including Emiliano Buendía and Matty Cash. Those absences will test manager rotation, but Villa’s depth has been sufficient across recent matches to sustain performance. Lille also have notable issues: goalkeeper M. Caillard and defender H. Igamane are sidelined, which could weaken their defensive organisation away from home.

Tactically Villa should dominate possession and create higher-quality chances; their home record suggests effective pressing and quick transitions. Lille’s away form - 5 wins and 6 losses - points to inconsistency on the road. The Round of 16 context increases the likelihood both teams respect cautions, but Villa’s superior domestic and European standing (Aston Villa sit high in the competition table with 21 points in group standings) supports a home win probability.

Given the odds on the 1X2 market, Villa at home represents a value pick. The selection balances Villa’s home momentum, favourable H2H results, and Lille’s defensive absences. Expect Villa to control the game, create the better chances and edge this tie over 90 minutes.

Prediction

Aston Villa win • Odds 1.70 • Confidence 7/10