Atalanta

vs

Borussia Dortmund

Injuries & Suspensions

• Atalanta: C. De Ketelaere (Knee Injury), G. Raspadori (Thigh Injury)
• Borussia Dortmund: P. Drewes (Inactive), F. Mane (Thigh Injury), E. Can (Groin Injury), N. Schlotterbeck (Muscle Injury), N. Sule (Thigh Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W L L L
• Away: W D L L W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2026-02-17 · Borussia Dortmund · 2-0 · Atalanta
• 2018-02-22 · Atalanta · 1-1 · Borussia Dortmund
• 2018-02-15 · Borussia Dortmund · 3-2 · Atalanta

Match Preview

Two-legged tie context and Dortmund’s attacking output plus defensive vulnerabilities make a 3+ goal game likely despite Atalanta missing key attackers.

Key Notes

Context: Dortmund took a 2-0 advantage in the first leg at Signal Iduna Park, so Atalanta will be pushed into an attacking approach at home. That match context often opens space on the counter, increasing goal chances for both sides. Form and attacking numbers: Atalanta have 4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in their last nine matches; their home scoring is stronger (1.5 average) than away, but they have struggled to clear the 2.5-goal mark historically. Borussia Dortmund have 4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses recently and are a high-scoring side - averaging about 2.3 goals per match. Dortmund’s attacking threat makes them capable of producing multiple goals even away from home. Injuries and selection issues: Atalanta will miss C. De Ketelaere (knee) and G. Raspadori (thigh), which weakens their finishing and creativity. Dortmund have absences and doubts too - F. Mané is out, P. Drewes unavailable, and Emre Can, N. Schlotterbeck and N. Süle are questionable. Those defensive doubts for Dortmund raise the probability of them conceding at least once. H2H and match dynamics: Recent meetings produced scores of 2-0, 1-1 and 3-2 - all competitive and with goals. Given Dortmund’s lead, Atalanta should commit players forward searching for goals, while Dortmund can still threaten on counters and set pieces. Risk factors: Atalanta’s season data shows many low-scoring matches, so Over 2.5 is not guaranteed. Missing two of their key forwards further complicates their ability to create sustained pressure. However, the tie situation, Dortmund’s offensive output and their defensive uncertainties make a 3+ goal outcome a sensible play at available odds (around 1.72). Conclusion: Expect an open game with Atalanta chasing and Dortmund taking risks - sufficient conditions for Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction

Over 2.5 • Odds 1.72 • Confidence 6/10