Bayern Munich

vs

Paris Saint Germain

Injuries & Suspensions

• Bayern München: M. Cardozo (Thigh Injury), S. Gnabry (Muscle Injury), C. Kiala (Ankle Injury), W. Mike (Hip Injury), B. Ndiaye (Inactive), M. Cardozo (Thigh Injury), S. Gnabry (Muscle Injury), C. Kiala (Ankle Injury), W. Mike (Hip Injury)
• Paris Saint Germain: L. Chevalier (Muscle Injury), A. Hakimi (Thigh Injury), Q. Ndjantou (Muscle Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W W W L
• Away: W W W W W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2026-04-28 · Paris Saint Germain · 5-4 · Bayern München
• 2025-11-04 · Paris Saint Germain · 1-2 · Bayern München
• 2025-07-05 · Paris Saint Germain · 2-0 · Bayern München
• 2024-11-26 · Bayern München · 1-0 · Paris Saint Germain
• 2023-03-08 · Bayern Munich · 2-0 · Paris Saint Germain

Match Preview

Bayern strong at home with superior group position; PSG vulnerable without key right-back Hakimi. Expect Bayern to edge a tight, high-scoring tie.

Key Notes

This Champions League semi-final second leg leans in Bayern München's favour. Bayern arrive with 11 wins and 2 losses in their recent run, and they sit second in the group standings with 21 points - form and table both support an ambitious home performance. Paris Saint-Germain have excellent results away (10 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), but they carry notable absences.

Head-to-head context is mixed: PSG won the first leg at Parc des Princes 5-4, showing both sides' attacking potency and Bayern's defensive vulnerability on that day. Across the last five meetings, Bayern have three wins and PSG two, so neither team holds clear dominance, but Bayern have historically defended well at the Allianz Arena.

Injuries shift the balance slightly toward the hosts. Bayern will miss wingers and squad depth players including S. Gnabry (muscle) and M. Cardozo (thigh), which weakens some attacking permutations, yet their squad depth remains strong. PSG are missing A. Hakimi (thigh) - a crucial outlet on the right - plus L. Chevalier and Q. Ndjantou (muscle issues). Losing Hakimi limits PSG’s ability to counter on the flank and supply their forwards, especially in a stadium where Bayern will press to control the game.

Tactically, expect Bayern to take the initiative at home, using width and quick transitions to exploit PSG’s reconfigured back line. PSG will still threaten on the break, but the absence of their first-choice right-back and midfield instability from injuries reduces their chance of a controlled away performance.

With a decent home price (1.71) and clear incentives to push for victory, Bayern are the sensible pick. Prediction: Bayern win - tight, likely high-scoring but with the hosts prevailing.

Prediction

Bayern Munich win • Odds 1.71 • Confidence 7/10