Bayern Munich

vs

Real Madrid

Injuries & Suspensions

• Bayern München: M. Cardozo (Thigh Injury), L. Karl (Muscle Injury), C. Kiala (Ankle Injury), W. Mike (Hip Injury), B. Ndiaye (Inactive), S. Ulreich (Muscle Injury), M. Cardozo (Thigh Injury), L. Karl (Muscle Injury)
• Real Madrid: R. Asencio (Illness), T. Courtois (Thigh Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury), A. Tchouameni (Yellow Cards)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W W W W
• Away: W W W W L

H2H (Last 5)

• 2026-04-07 · Real Madrid · 1-2 · Bayern München
• 2024-05-08 · Real Madrid · 2-1 · Bayern Munich
• 2024-04-30 · Bayern Munich · 2-2 · Real Madrid
• 2019-07-21 · Bayern Munich · 3-1 · Real Madrid
• 2018-05-01 · Real Madrid · 2-2 · Bayern Munich

Match Preview

Bayern excellent at home with superior form and a recent 2-1 win in Madrid; Real missing key keeper. Home win is the favoured outcome.

Key Notes

Preview and analysis This tie heavily favors Bayern München to win at the Allianz Arena. Bayern arrive with outstanding form - 10 wins, 1 loss - and dominant home attacking numbers, averaging more than three goals per game at home in this campaign. They also took the upper hand in the recent head-to-head on 7 April, beating Real Madrid 2-1 at the Bernabéu, which gives extra psychological and tactical advantage heading into this return leg. Key strengths and context Bayern’s attack is in top shape: they score early and frequently, with a high goals-per-game average and an ability to punish mistakes late. Standings back their quality - second in the competition group table with strong goal difference. Real Madrid remain dangerous away from home but are less consistent in this dataset, with 9 wins and 4 losses overall and lower placement in the standings (ninth in the provided table). Injuries and selection risk Bayern have several absences, including some squad members out with muscle and ankle issues and one goalkeeper listed as missing. Real are also without Thibaut Courtois (thigh injury) and have a forward unavailable. The missing Courtois is a significant blow to Real’s defensive certainty, while Bayern’s attacking depth helps offset other absences. Both sides will need to manage rotation and match fitness, but Bayern’s depth and home advantage remain decisive. Head-to-head and tactical outlook Recent H2H favors Bayern: a 2-1 win in Madrid this month and strong historical home performances. Expect Bayern to press high, control possession, and look to exploit spaces on the counter. Real may try to sit deeper and hit on the break, but Bayern’s finishing form should be enough to produce a home victory. Bottom line Bayern to win (Home) is the recommended pick: home form, recent H2H result, and Real’s injury to their first-choice goalkeeper support a confident home selection.

Prediction

Bayern Munich win • Odds 1.61 • Confidence 7/10