Benfica
vs
Real Madrid


Injuries & Suspensions
- Benfica: A. Bah (Knee Injury), N. Felix (Knee Injury), R. Rios (Injury), S. Soares (Injury), J. Veloso (Shoulder Injury)
- Real Madrid: J. Bellingham (Hamstring Injury), Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury), Rodrygo (Red Card), Rodrygo (Muscle Injury)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: L W W L W
- Away: L W L W L
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-01-28 · Benfica · 4-2 · Real Madrid
Match Preview
Real Madrid to win - deeper squad and better away consistency, despite absences; Benfica have key injuries too but recent H2H win offers warning.
Key Notes
This tie looks finely balanced on paper, but Real Madrid get the nod for the away win. Benfica’s home form shows 6 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, a mixed record that underlines inconsistency. They also arrive with several important absences: N. Félix and A. Bah are missing with knee issues, while R. Rios, S. Soares and J. Veloso are also unavailable. Those absences blunt Benfica’s attacking and midfield options.
Real Madrid’s away form reads 5 wins and 3 losses - not flawless, but they have the experience to navigate high-pressure European ties. They will be without J. Bellingham and Éder Militão through hamstring problems and Rodrygo is suspended, which is significant. Still, Real’s squad depth typically allows them to cope when stars are missing. The standings snapshot provided even shows Real listed among elite teams in continental competition, reflecting their pedigree.
Head-to-head context matters: Benfica beat Real 4-2 at the Estádio da Luz in late January, which warns that Benfica can exploit vulnerabilities at home. That result makes this far from a one-sided pick. However, given the number of starters Benfica are missing and Real’s ability to rotate and perform in away fixtures, Real Madrid look likelier to edge the result.
This is a cautious away selection rather than a high-confidence banker. Expect a competitive match in which Real’s tactical discipline and quality off the bench can decide the tie. Keep an eye on late team news for any recovery of key attackers before kickoff.
Prediction
Real Madrid win • Odds 1.99 • Confidence 6/10