BK Hacken
vs
AIK Stockholm
Model Forecast
Projected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match probabilities
BK Hacken are the model's most likely winner at 51.5%, with a clearer model edge and slightly favors both teams to score.
Probability matrix
Rows: home goals · Columns: away goals
| H\A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Model probabilities derived from team performance and market expectations. They are not bookmaker odds.
BK Hacken win
No significant pricing edge was detected for this selection at the recorded odds.
Why?
- Model probability
- 51.5%
- Model fair odds
- 1.94
- Available odds
- 1.83
- Expected value
- -5.8%
Odds are valid as of July 25, 2026, 09:11 CET.
Positive value requires at least a 2 percentage-point probability edge, 5% expected value and the same odds snapshot.
Injuries & Suspensions
- BK Hacken: E. Berisha (Back Injury), B. Engdahl (Injury), F. Ohman (Shoulder Injury), E. Berisha (Back Injury), B. Engdahl (Injury)
- AIK Stockholm: I. Cisse (Ankle Injury), M. Ellingsen (Leg Injury), Y. Geiger (Inactive), S. Gustafsson (Inactive), C. Pavey (Inactive), A. Redkin (Knee Injury), O. S. Wilson (Injury)
Form (Last 5)
- Home: D W L L W
- Away: W L W W W
H2H (Last 5)
- 2026-03-09 · AIK Stockholm · 4-0 · BK Hacken
- 2025-10-26 · AIK Stockholm · 2-2 · BK Hacken
- 2025-05-14 · BK Hacken · 3-3 · AIK Stockholm
- 2024-10-06 · AIK Stockholm · 0-2 · BK Hacken
- 2024-06-02 · BK Hacken · 4-1 · AIK Stockholm
Match Preview
BK Hacken return to Bravida Arena with a strong league position and a better recent record than AIK Stockholm, which gives the hosts a solid platform in this Allsvenskan meeting. Hacken sit third in the table and have been difficult to beat, while AIK are only a point or two behind in the upper half and arrive with respectable form of their own. That combination suggests a competitive match rather than a one-sided one.
Hacken’s recent sequence has been steadier, built on six wins and five draws from their last 13, and that kind of consistency is usually what counts in a tight summer fixture. AIK have also been competitive, but their four defeats from 13 point to a side that can be pushed around when the game becomes open. Injuries do matter here too: Hacken are missing several players, yet AIK have an even longer list of absentees, including options in midfield and wider areas, which could reduce their ability to control spells of the match.
The head-to-head history also leans toward an energetic encounter. AIK thumped Hacken 4-0 in the cup earlier this year, but the league meetings before that were far more balanced, including a 2-2 draw in Solna and Hacken’s 4-1 home win the previous season. That mix tells a story of two sides capable of hurting each other, but with home advantage and a slightly cleaner form line, Hacken have the sharper edge.
The projected score profile points to goals for both teams, so this is unlikely to be a cagey, low-event affair. Hacken are the more convincing side to back at home, even if AIK can make them work for it.
ScoreCast Pick
BK Hacken win • Odds 1.83 • Confidence 6/10