Borussia Dortmund

vs

FSV Mainz 05

Injuries & Suspensions

• Borussia Dortmund: E. Can (Groin Injury), F. Mane (Thigh Injury), N. Schlotterbeck (Yellow Cards), K. Adeyemi (Ankle Injury), Y. Couto (Illness), M. Sabitzer (Calf Injury)
• FSV Mainz 05: A. Caci (Thigh Injury), M. Dal (Knee Injury), A. Hanche-Olsen (Inactive), B. Hollerbach (Achilles Tendon Injury), S. Kawasaki (Injury), M. Leitsch (Muscle Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W W W W
• Away: W L W W W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2025-09-27 · FSV Mainz 05 · 0-2 · Borussia Dortmund
• 2025-03-30 · Borussia Dortmund · 3-1 · FSV Mainz 05
• 2024-11-09 · FSV Mainz 05 · 3-1 · Borussia Dortmund
• 2024-05-11 · FSV Mainz 05 · 3-0 · Borussia Dortmund
• 2023-12-19 · Borussia Dortmund · 1-1 · FSV Mainz 05

Match Preview

Dortmund are favourites but multiple absences and Mainz's ability to frustrate mean a draw is a sensible, cautious choice.

Key Notes

Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 - case for a Draw

Form and standings: Borussia Dortmund sit near the top of the Bundesliga table with consistent winning form, while Mainz have struggled in patches and show less consistency. Dortmund’s recent home and overall form has been excellent, producing a string of victories, but there have been occasional hiccups when key players were unavailable.

Injuries and availability: Dortmund have several notable absences - Emre Can (groin), F. Mané (thigh), and N. Schlotterbeck (suspended for yellow cards) are listed as missing; Adeyemi and Sabitzer are questionable. Those missing defensive and attacking pieces will likely force tactical tweaks and rotation, reducing Dortmund’s usual attacking fluidity and defensive stability. Mainz also have injury issues (A. Caci, M. Dal), but the net impact on Mainz is smaller relative to the quality gap.

Head-to-head and match dynamics: Historically Dortmund have had the upper hand in H2H meetings, including away wins, but Mainz are capable of setting up conservatively and hitting on the counter. With Dortmund possibly missing influential figures, Mainz can be expected to defend in numbers and look to frustrate. The most recent meeting saw Dortmund win away, but that doesn’t guarantee a repeat given current absences.

Conclusion: On paper Dortmund should win, but the combination of suspensions and injuries reduces their dominance. Mainz are unlikely to outplay Dortmund but can make the match cagey. Given the allowed selections and the realistic scenario of a tight contest where Dortmund struggle to convert possession into clear chances, a draw is the pragmatic pick.

Prediction

Draw • Odds 4.78 • Confidence 4/10