ScoreCast
← Back to predictions
UEFA Champions League • Mar 17, 2026

Chelsea
vs
Paris Saint Germain

Kickoff (CET time) 20:00
Pick PSG win

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Chelsea: L. Colwill (Knee Injury), D. Essugo (Inactive), {'id': 425733, 'name': None, 'photo': 'https://media.api-sports.io/football/players/425733.png', 'type': 'Missing Fixture', 'reason': 'Muscle Injury'} (Muscle Injury), M. Mudryk (Suspended), T. Sharman-Lowe (Inactive), G. Slonina (Inactive), C. Wiley (Inactive)
  • Paris Saint Germain: Q. Ndjantou (Muscle Injury), F. Ruiz (Knee Injury)

Form (Last 5)

  • Home: W L W W L
  • Away: L D W D W

H2H (Last 5)

  • 2026-03-11 · Paris Saint Germain · 5-2 · Chelsea
  • 2025-07-13 · Chelsea · 3-0 · Paris Saint Germain
  • 2016-03-09 · Chelsea · 1-2 · Paris Saint Germain
  • 2016-02-16 · Paris Saint Germain · 2-1 · Chelsea
  • 2015-03-11 · Chelsea · 2-2 · Paris Saint Germain

Match Preview

PSG dominated the first leg 5-2 and travel with momentum. Chelsea have multiple absentees and suspensions. PSG should hold the tie and secure a favourable result.

Key Notes

PSG travel to Stamford Bridge holding a commanding first-leg advantage after a 5-2 victory in Paris. That scoreline underlines PSG’s attacking firepower and Chelsea’s defensive vulnerability. PSG come into this match having delivered consistent results (6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and should have the confidence and tactical clarity to manage the tie.

Chelsea’s squad problems are significant. They face several missing first-team players - including long-term absences and a suspension for Mykhailo Mudryk - alongside other inactives. Key defensive and attacking rotations are compromised, and that reduces manager flexibility. Chelsea’s recent form (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses) shows they can be inconsistent, especially against top-level opposition.

Head-to-head context is stark: the Round of 16 first leg at the Parc des Princes ended 5-2 to PSG, giving them a two-goal cushion and the momentum. Chelsea will need to score early and gamble tactically to overturn the deficit, but their injury list and suspended personnel make such an aggressive posture risky and easier for PSG to exploit on the counter.

PSG’s squad appears relatively healthier - the only noted absence is Q. Ndjantou - and they possess the depth to rotate while maintaining quality. Expect PSG to control large portions of the game, protect their aggregate lead and hit Chelsea on transitions. With Chelsea weakened and PSG in clear control of the tie, an away win for PSG is the sensible selection. Confidence is relatively high because of the first-leg score, PSG’s stability and Chelsea’s personnel issues.

Prediction

PSG winOdds 3.07 • Confidence 7/10

Result 0-3wonProfit +14.49u