France

vs

Spain

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W W W W
• Away: W W W W W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2025-06-05 · Spain · 5-4 · France
• 2024-07-09 · Spain · 2-1 · France
• 2021-10-10 · Spain · 1-2 · France
• 2017-03-28 · France · 0-2 · Spain
• 2012-06-23 · Spain · 2-0 · France

Match Preview

France’s unbeaten World Cup run and elite tournament pedigree make a stalemate against Spain a strong knockout-stage outcome.

Key Notes

France and Spain meet in a semifinal that is finely balanced on current tournament evidence. France arrive with a perfect World Cup record so far, showing the kind of control and resilience that usually travels well in knockout football. Spain are also in strong shape, posting five wins and one draw, which underlines how hard they are to beat in this competition.

The head-to-head record adds to the case for a cautious, evenly matched contest. These sides have already produced tight, high-level encounters in major tournaments, with France edging Spain in the 2021 Nations League final and Spain winning the more recent Euro semifinal. That split history suggests neither side gains a decisive psychological edge, and both are capable of matching the other’s intensity over 90 minutes.

Because this is a neutral-site semifinal, the game is likely to be shaped more by structure, game management, and margins than by any territorial edge. France have shown enough balance to stay compact when needed, while Spain’s possession game can control tempo and reduce chaos. In a match like this, one early moment can define the outcome, but the most natural expectation is a long spell of caution followed by a shared stalemate.

At 3.25, the draw offers value in a contest where both teams have strong cases and very little separates them on form or pedigree. A level result fits the balance of quality, the knockout setting, and the recent history between two of the tournament’s most accomplished sides.

Prediction

Draw • Odds 3.25 • Confidence 6/10

Odds are valid as of July 12, 2026, 09:29 CET.