Lecce

vs

Fiorentina

Injuries & Suspensions

• Lecce: M. Berisha (Thigh Injury), F. Camarda (Shoulder Injury), S. Fofana (Inactive), K. Gaspar (Knee Injury), R. Sottil (Back Injury), M. Berisha (Thigh Injury), F. Camarda (Shoulder Injury)
• Fiorentina: T. Lamptey (Knee Injury), F. Parisi (Inactive), M. Brescianini (Injury), N. Fortini (Back Injury), M. Kean (Calf Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W L L L L
• Away: D W D W W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2025-11-02 · Fiorentina · 0-1 · Lecce
• 2025-02-28 · Fiorentina · 1-0 · Lecce
• 2024-10-20 · Lecce · 0-6 · Fiorentina
• 2024-02-02 · Lecce · 3-2 · Fiorentina
• 2023-08-27 · Fiorentina · 2-2 · Lecce

Match Preview

Fiorentina look the stronger pick: Lecce’s poor form and multiple absences contrast with Fiorentina’s better consistency and favourable recent H2H.

Key Notes

Fiorentina are the sensible choice to take all three points at Lecce. Lecce’s season form (7 wins, 6 draws, 19 losses) highlights a side fighting at the wrong end of results, particularly vulnerable at home. Fiorentina’s record (8 wins, 11 draws, 13 losses away and overall) is steadier and points to a team more capable of grinding a result on the road.

Head-to-head history further supports an away selection. Recent meetings include a 1-0 Fiorentina home victory in November 2025 and previous seasons where Fiorentina have dominated, including a 6-0 away win in 2024. That pedigree indicates Fiorentina match up well stylistically and have historically caused problems for Lecce.

Injuries worsen Lecce’s outlook: they will miss M. Berisha, F. Camarda and S. Fofana while K. Gaspar is sidelined, removing key options across attack and midfield. Fiorentina also have a couple of players out or questionable-T. Lamptey and F. Parisi are listed as missing and M. Brescianini is questionable-but their squad depth is generally superior and they can rotate without a severe drop in quality.

Tactically, Lecce often struggle to retain the ball and be coherent defensively against opposition that presses and moves the ball quickly. Fiorentina possess the midfield balance and experienced attackers to exploit those weaknesses. Given Lecce’s fragile defensive record and multiple absences, Fiorentina to win in the 1X2 market is the recommended play. The away side offers both value and a strong probability of taking points from this fixture.

Prediction

Fiorentina win • Odds 2.25 • Confidence 8/10