ScoreCast
← Back to predictions
Ligue 1 • Apr 17, 2026

Lens
vs
Toulouse

Kickoff (CET time) 18:45
Pick Lens win

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Lens: K. Antonio (Foot Injury), J. Gradit (Thigh Injury), R. Gurtner (Muscle Injury), R. Aguilar (Calf Injury), S. Baidoo (Muscle Injury), K. Antonio (Foot Injury), J. Gradit (Thigh Injury)
  • Toulouse: A. Francis (Broken Leg), F. Magri (Knee Injury), M. McKenzie (Red Card), R. Messali (Ankle Injury), A. Dominguez (Injury)

Form (Last 5)

  • Home: D W L W L
  • Away: L W W L L

H2H (Last 5)

  • 2026-01-02 · Toulouse · 0-3 · Lens
  • 2025-05-10 · Toulouse · 1-1 · Lens
  • 2025-01-05 · Lens · 0-1 · Toulouse
  • 2024-01-28 · Toulouse · 0-2 · Lens
  • 2023-09-24 · Lens · 2-1 · Toulouse

Match Preview

Lens are strong at home and higher in the table; Toulouse’s injuries and suspensions weaken their challenge, making a Lens win the sensible option.

Key Notes

Lens head into this Ligue 1 fixture in good form and strong league position. At home they have been effective this season and overall have posted 19 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. They sit near the top of the table (59 points from 28 matches) and are pressing among the title contenders. Toulouse, by contrast, have a mixed campaign with 10 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses and sit down the table with 37 points.

Recent head-to-heads favour Lens: a 3-0 victory in Toulouse earlier this season is a clear example of their ability to control this matchup. Lens’ squad depth has handled rotation reasonably well despite some current absences - K. Antonio, J. Gradit and R. Gurtner are listed as missing, with others questionable - and they still retain high-quality attacking and midfield options.

Toulouse travel with notable fitness problems. A. Francis is out long-term with a broken leg, F. Magri is sidelined with a knee injury and M. McKenzie is suspended following a red card. Those absences hit both their defensive stability and attacking balance. On top of that, Toulouse’s away record is inconsistent, making them vulnerable against a Lens side that performs strongly at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Given Lens’ higher league position, superior home form and Toulouse’s key absences and suspension, the smart play is a Lens home win. The margin could be modest, but Lens should control possession and create the better scoring opportunities. Confidence is above average due to table context, H2H evidence and the visitor injury list, but always factor in late team news before betting.

Prediction

Lens winOdds 1.63 • Confidence 7/10

Result 3-2wonProfit +4.41u