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Ligue 1 • May 10, 2026

Paris Saint Germain
vs
Stade Brestois 29

Kickoff (CET time) 19:00
Pick Draw

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Paris Saint Germain: L. Chevalier (Muscle Injury), A. Hakimi (Thigh Injury), N. Mendes (Thigh Injury), Q. Ndjantou (Muscle Injury), W. Pacho (Thigh Injury), W. Zaire-Emery (Back Injury), L. Chevalier (Muscle Injury), A. Hakimi (Thigh Injury), N. Mendes (Thigh Injury)
  • Stade Brestois 29: S. Coulibaly (Leg Injury), K. Lala (Yellow Cards), B. Locko (Muscle Injury)

Form (Last 5)

  • Home: W L W W D
  • Away: L L D D L

H2H (Last 5)

  • 2025-10-25 · Stade Brestois 29 · 0-3 · Paris Saint Germain
  • 2025-02-19 · Paris Saint Germain · 7-0 · Stade Brestois 29
  • 2025-02-11 · Stade Brestois 29 · 0-3 · Paris Saint Germain
  • 2025-02-01 · Stade Brestois 29 · 2-5 · Paris Saint Germain
  • 2024-09-14 · Paris Saint Germain · 3-1 · Stade Brestois 29

Match Preview

PSG dominate standings and H2H, but multiple key absences increase draw probability; a stalemate is plausible given rotation and injuries.

Key Notes

On paper Paris Saint Germain are overwhelming favourites. They top Ligue 1 with 70 points from 31 matches and boast a strong season record of 22 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. Brest’s form is middling with 10 wins, 8 draws and 13 losses. Historically PSG have dominated recent meetings, including 3-0 and 7-0 scorelines, showing a clear gulf in quality.

However, the injury list complicates the picture. PSG are missing a number of important starters: Achraf Hakimi, Nuno Mendes, Warren Zaire-Emery and other names are listed as unavailable, limiting full-back and midfield options. Those absences increase the chance PSG rotate or approach the game conservatively, especially if squad fitness is a concern. Brest are missing fewer starters but do have absences too, such as S. Coulibaly and K. Lala.

Head-to-head form has been heavily in PSG’s favour - multiple comprehensive wins - but the context of this particular fixture suggests caution. With PSG potentially without key attacking and wide players, their usual attacking fluency could be reduced. Brest have shown they can be compact and resilient on their day; a low-scoring draw is within the realm of possibility if PSG cannot field their strongest XI.

Given the allowed markets, a draw is the pragmatic selection. It recognises PSG’s superiority but accounts for the volume of injuries and the likelihood of rotation or a cautious approach. This pick reflects moderate confidence: PSG should still be favourites to avoid defeat, but Brest’s ability to frustrate increases the draw probability - confidence 4/10.

Prediction

DrawOdds 8.60 • Confidence 4/10

Result 1-0lostProfit -4.00u