Real Madrid

vs

AL

Alaves

Injuries & Suspensions

• Real Madrid: R. Asencio (Illness), T. Courtois (Thigh Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury), R. Asencio (Illness), T. Courtois (Thigh Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
• Alaves: F. Garces (Suspended), C. Protesoni (Muscle Injury), A. Rebbach (Yellow Cards), F. Garces (Suspended), C. Protesoni (Muscle Injury), A. Rebbach (Yellow Cards)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W W W L D
• Away: L D W D D

H2H (Last 5)

• 2025-12-14 · Alaves · 1-2 · Real Madrid
• 2025-04-13 · Alaves · 0-1 · Real Madrid
• 2024-09-24 · Real Madrid · 3-2 · Alaves
• 2024-05-14 · Real Madrid · 5-0 · Alaves
• 2023-12-21 · Alaves · 0-1 · Real Madrid

Match Preview

Real strong historically but key absences (keeper and attackers) plus Alavés resilience make a stalemate plausible despite home dominance.

Key Notes

Real Madrid arrive as clear table contenders (2nd with 70 points) and have been dominant at home this season with 22 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. Head-to-head history heavily favours Madrid - recent meetings include a 2-1 away win (Dec 14, 2025), 1-0 and 3-2 victories, and a 5-0 rout in 2024 - demonstrating Real’s capacity to control these fixtures.

However, there are notable absences that materially alter the balance. Thibaut Courtois is ruled out with a thigh injury and Rodrygo is also unavailable with a knee issue; forward R. Asencio is missing through illness. Those are key names in attack and in goal, which reduces Real’s offensive threat and raises questions over defensive reliability without their usual goalkeeper. Alavés, for their part, have several players missing (F. Garces suspended, C. Protesoni injured, A. Rebbach unavailable due to card accumulation) but they often set up compactly against top sides and can frustrate possession-led opponents.

Alavés’ away record this season (8 wins, 9 draws, 14 losses) is poor, but draws are common for them on the road. Given Real’s personnel gaps and Alavés’ tendency to sit deep and take a point, a draw becomes a realistic outcome - more so than an Alavés shock win, and unfortunately the market here does not offer a home win option. Expect Real to control territory and create chances, but also a risk of a lower-scoring game and Alavés snatching a share of the spoils. The pick reflects the tactical reality and absences rather than season-long form alone.

Prediction

Draw • Odds 6.20 • Confidence 4/10