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La Liga • May 23, 2026

Real Madrid
vs
Athletic Club

Kickoff (CET time) 19:00
Pick Draw

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Real Madrid: D. Ceballos (Coach's decision), Eder Militao (Muscle Injury), F. Mendy (Muscle Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury), T. Alexander-Arnold (Illness), A. Guler (Muscle Injury), A. Tchouameni (Muscle Injury), Vinicius Junior (Rest)
  • Athletic Club: Y. Berchiche (Yellow Cards), U. Egiluz (Knee Injury), N. Williams (Hamstring Injury), B. Prados Diaz (Knee Injury)

Form (Last 5)

  • Home: D W L W W
  • Away: L W L L D

H2H (Last 5)

  • 2025-12-03 · Athletic Club · 0-3 · Real Madrid
  • 2025-04-20 · Real Madrid · 1-0 · Athletic Club
  • 2024-12-04 · Athletic Club · 2-1 · Real Madrid
  • 2024-03-31 · Real Madrid · 2-0 · Athletic Club
  • 2023-08-12 · Athletic Club · 0-2 · Real Madrid

Match Preview

Real Madrid are strong at home but key players are missing or doubtful; Athletic are inconsistent away. Squad rotation and absences point to a tight game and possible draw.

Key Notes

This fixture presents a tricky betting scenario because Real Madrid are strong at home but arrive with multiple starters missing or questionable, increasing the chance of a closer game. Real Madrid sit second in La Liga with 83 points and their season form shows 26 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses - a robust record. Athletic Club’s form is 13 wins, 6 draws, 18 losses, and they have struggled on the road. However, Real Madrid are carrying several notable absences: Eder Militao and Ferland Mendy are out with muscle injuries, Rodrygo is sidelined with a knee injury, and several first-team players are listed as questionable or being rested.

Head-to-head history mostly favours Real Madrid with recent wins including a 3-0 away victory and other comfortable results at the Bernabéu. Still, Athletic have shown they can frustrate top teams by defending resolutely and exploiting set-pieces. With Real potentially rotating or missing key attacking and defensive figures, their usual fluidity may be disrupted.

Given the allowed market options here, backing a draw is a prudent middle-ground selection. It accounts for Real’s superior quality and home advantage while recognising the impact of injuries and squad rotation that elevate the chance of dropped points. Expect a tight tactical battle, fewer clear chances than usual for Real, and a competitive Athletic side capable of salvaging a point. The draw represents value considering the circumstances and market constraints.

Prediction

DrawOdds 5.00 • Confidence 5/10

Result 4-2lostProfit -5.00u