Real Madrid

vs

Atletico Madrid

Injuries & Suspensions

• Real Madrid: D. Ceballos (Muscle Injury), T. Courtois (Thigh Injury), Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury), F. Mendy (Hamstring Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
• Atletico Madrid: P. Barrios (Muscle Injury), R. Mendoza (Injury), J. Oblak (Muscle Injury), M. Pubill (Muscle Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W L L W W
• Away: L W W W W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2026-01-08 · Atletico Madrid · 1-2 · Real Madrid
• 2025-09-27 · Atletico Madrid · 5-2 · Real Madrid
• 2025-03-12 · Atletico Madrid · 1-0 · Real Madrid
• 2025-03-04 · Real Madrid · 2-1 · Atletico Madrid
• 2025-02-08 · Real Madrid · 1-1 · Atletico Madrid

Match Preview

Real Madrid keep home advantage despite several absences; Atletico strong but missing key goalkeeper. Expect a narrow Madrid victory given squad depth and league position.

Key Notes

This is a high-stakes Madrid derby where small margins will decide the outcome. Real Madrid sit second in La Liga with 66 points and have produced 21 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses this season - strong home form that underpins the pick. Atletico are fourth with 57 points and an away ledger of 17 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, so they are a capable opponent but slightly behind in consistency.

Injuries could shape the game. Real will be without Thibaut Courtois (thigh), Eder Militao (hamstring), Ferland Mendy (hamstring), Rodrygo (knee) and Dani Ceballos (muscle). Those absences significantly weaken Real's defensive spine and remove a reliable goalkeeper and attacking options, increasing vulnerability on set pieces and transitions. Atletico also have important misses: Jan Oblak (muscle injury) and midfield presence P. Barrios, plus R. Mendoza out. Losing Oblak is a notable blow for Atletico’s normally resolute defense.

Recent head-to-heads show tight contests with alternating winners: Real beat Atletico in the Super Cup semi-final 2-1 and have edged them in European ties, while Atletico handed Real a 5-2 league defeat earlier in the campaign. Those results underline that both teams can win depending on form on the day.

Given Real’s superior league position, better consistency at home and deeper squad options on paper, they retain the edge despite absences. Atletico’s goalkeeper situation levels the playing field, so this won’t be a runaway. Expect a narrow Real Madrid victory - they should manage the game and take the points, but the result may be decided by small moments or set-piece situations.

Selection: Home (Real Madrid). Confidence: 6/10.

Prediction

Real Madrid win • Odds 2.00 • Confidence 6/10