ScoreCast
← Back to predictions
La Liga • Mar 14, 2026

Real Madrid
vs
Elche

Kickoff (CET time) 20:00
Pick Draw

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Real Madrid: D. Alaba (Calf Injury), J. Bellingham (Hamstring Injury), A. Carreras (Calf Injury), D. Ceballos (Muscle Injury), Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury), F. Mastantuono (Red Card), K. Mbappe (Knee Injury), F. Mendy (Muscle Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
  • Elche: H. Fort (Shoulder Injury), P. Bigas (Injury), J. Donald (Injury)

Form (Last 5)

  • Home: W W L L W
  • Away: L D L D L

H2H (Last 5)

  • 2025-11-23 · Elche · 2-2 · Real Madrid
  • 2023-02-15 · Real Madrid · 4-0 · Elche
  • 2022-10-19 · Elche · 0-3 · Real Madrid
  • 2022-01-23 · Real Madrid · 2-2 · Elche
  • 2022-01-20 · Elche · 1-2 · Real Madrid

Match Preview

Real are favourites on form, but extensive absences and Elche's tendency to frustrate visitors increase the likelihood of a low-scoring draw.

Key Notes

Real Madrid hold second place with 63 points and display strong domestic form of 20 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses. Elche are well down the table in form terms with 5 wins, 11 draws, 11 losses overall and a poor away record, but they have a history of making matches uncomfortable for big opponents.

Recent H2H results show Real have dominated many meetings, including a 4-0 win in 2021 and several comfortable victories. There are, however, notable mitigating factors in this fixture: Real have a long list of absentees in the data provided - David Alaba, Jude Bellingham, A. Carreras, Dani Ceballos, Eder Militao, Kylian Mbappé, Ferland Mendy and a suspended F. Mastantuono are all listed as unavailable. Missing central midfield and defensive leaders such as Bellingham, Militao and Alaba significantly impact Real’s control, pressing structure and defensive stability. Mbappé's absence further reduces cutting edge in the final third. These gaps increase the chance of rotation, reshuffled roles and reduced cohesion.

Elche, while clearly the inferior side on paper, have previously managed draws against top teams and can sit deep to frustrate. Their H2H record includes a 2-2 draw at home in November 2025 and a capacity to make the most of set-pieces and transitional moments.

Given Real’s injury list and the market availability (no Home option), the Draw offers reasonable value - likely a low-scoring result or a late equaliser scenario. Expect Real to dominate possession but face a resolute Elche rearguard; margins will be small and tactical caution from a depleted Real squad makes a draw a credible outcome. Confidence is moderate due to Real’s overall superiority tempered by key absences.

Prediction

DrawOdds 6.11 • Confidence 6/10

Result 4-1lostProfit -6.00u