Real Madrid

vs

Manchester City

Injuries & Suspensions

• Real Madrid: D. Alaba (Calf Injury), J. Bellingham (Hamstring Injury), A. Carreras (Calf Injury), D. Ceballos (Muscle Injury), Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury), K. Mbappe (Knee Injury), Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
• Manchester City: J. Gvardiol (Broken Leg), M. Kovacic (Heel Injury), S. Nypan (Inactive)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: L W L W W
• Away: W L W L W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2025-12-10 · Real Madrid · 1-2 · Manchester City
• 2025-02-19 · Real Madrid · 3-1 · Manchester City
• 2025-02-11 · Manchester City · 2-3 · Real Madrid
• 2024-04-17 · Manchester City · 1-1 · Real Madrid
• 2024-04-09 · Real Madrid · 3-3 · Manchester City

Match Preview

Manchester City are favoured on the provided market and recent head-to-heads; Real have multiple absences. Back City to take the win, though match-up is closely contested.

Key Notes

This heavyweight Champions League fixture features Real Madrid at home against Manchester City. Both sides bring strong recent form: Real have 7 wins and 3 losses in their last ten, while City’s run is 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. The market gives Manchester City an away-side edge (odds ~2.06), and several squad issues for Real shift the balance.

Real Madrid’s injury list is extensive for this fixture - D. Alaba, J. Bellingham, A. Carreras, D. Ceballos and Eder Militao are all listed absent, and there are additional high-profile concerns noted. Losing midfield and defensive options like Bellingham and Militão undermines Real’s usual control in transition and aerial stability. City’s notable absentee is J. Gvardiol with a broken leg, which weakens their defensive choices, but their squad depth under Pep Guardiola remains substantial.

Recent head-to-heads have been competitive: City won at the Bernabéu in December 2025 (2-1) and the pair have exchanged victories in the past seasons. That suggests City have a tactical read on Real, and their clinical transition and pressing can exploit Real without Bellingham and Militão. Real’s home crowd and attacking pedigree remain dangerous, especially if they can protect the backline and get early momentum.

Overall, the away win is the preferred selection. Manchester City combine recent European successes against Real with a robust squad and an effective tactical plan for big away nights. Confidence is moderate - both teams are elite and the match could be tight - but the market and injury imbalances point to City edging this encounter.

Prediction

Man City win • Odds 2.06 • Confidence 6/10