ScoreCast
← Back to predictions
Premier League • Apr 12, 2026

Sunderland
vs
Tottenham

Kickoff (CET time) 13:00
Pick Sunderland win

Injuries & Suspensions

  • Sunderland: J. T. Bi (Ankle Injury), R. Mundle (Hamstring Injury), B. Traore (Knee Injury), N. Angulo (Muscle Injury), D. Ballard (Muscle Injury), R. Roefs (Muscle Injury)
  • Tottenham: B. Davies (Ankle Injury), M. Kudus (Muscle Injury), D. Kulusevski (Knee Injury), J. Maddison (Knee Injury), W. Odobert (Knee Injury), G. Vicario (Groin Injury)

Form (Last 5)

  • Home: L D W L W
  • Away: L L L D L

H2H (Last 5)

  • 2026-01-04 · Tottenham · 1-1 · Sunderland
  • 2017-01-31 · Sunderland · 0-0 · Tottenham
  • 2016-09-18 · Tottenham · 1-0 · Sunderland
  • 2016-01-16 · Tottenham · 4-1 · Sunderland
  • 2015-09-13 · Sunderland · 0-1 · Tottenham

Match Preview

Sunderland's home solidity and Tottenham's away struggles plus key absences make a Sunderland win a plausible upset.

Key Notes

This is an attractive upset pick: Sunderland to win at home. Sunderland’s home-season profile shows reasonable balance (11 wins, 10 draws, 10 losses overall form this season) and they will be confident at the Stadium of Light. Tottenham’s away record is more fragile this season - 7 wins, 9 draws, 15 losses - which highlights their inconsistency on the road.

Recent head-to-heads suggest close contests. Their meeting in January finished 1-1 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and historical fixtures have produced draws and tight margins. That indicates Sunderland are far from intimidated in this matchup.

Injuries tilt the balance toward the hosts. Tottenham are missing Brentford Davies with an ankle issue and Mohammed Kudus with a muscle injury - the latter is a meaningful attacking absence that reduces Spurs’ creativity and finishing options. Sunderland have several players injured or questionable, including J. T. Bi and R. Mundle, but they still retain a competitive squad at home and can set up to frustrate and counter-attack.

Tottenham’s away struggles and the loss of a key attacker make them vulnerable to a well-organised Sunderland side. Sunderland can exploit set-pieces and transitions, while Spurs may lack the cutting edge without Kudus and face selection disruption.

Risk note: Tottenham still have quality and can nick results on the counter; this pick carries moderate risk. But given Spurs’ away inconsistency and the specific injury concerns, Sunderland to win is a reasoned selection.

Recommendation: Back Sunderland at home. Confidence is moderate based on home form, Spurs’ away record and current absences.

Prediction

Sunderland winOdds 2.72 • Confidence 6/10

Result 1-0wonProfit +10.32u