Uruguay

vs

Spain

Injuries & Suspensions

• Uruguay: G. de Arrascaeta (Muscle bruise), R. Araújo (Muscle bruise)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: D D
• Away: D W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2013-06-16 · Spain · 2-1 · Uruguay

Match Preview

Spain’s stronger tournament form, defensive edge and H2H superiority point to a controlled win, with Uruguay missing key personnel.

Key Notes

Spain look the better bet in this neutral-site group match. They arrive with 1 win and 1 draw in the tournament, while Uruguay have managed only 2 draws. That contrast matters in a tight fixture where margins are likely to be small, but Spain’s profile suggests they are more capable of turning a balanced game into a clear result.

The numbers also support Spain’s defensive stability. They have conceded 0 goals in the tournament and have already posted 2 clean sheets, a major indicator that they can manage Uruguay’s attack. Uruguay, by contrast, have not kept a clean sheet and have drawn both of their matches, which points to competitiveness but not necessarily enough punch to beat a top opponent. The injury list also hurts Uruguay, with G. de Arrascaeta and R. Araújo unavailable, removing quality from midfield and defense.

Head-to-head history is limited, but Spain won the only listed competitive meeting between the sides, 2-1 in the 2013 Confederations Cup. That is not decisive on its own, yet it aligns with Spain’s overall edge in quality and control. Uruguay have shown resilience, but their recent tournament output suggests they may struggle to match Spain’s tempo and structure over 90 minutes.

An Asian handicap on Spain -1 offers a stronger price than a simple away win and still fits the data. Spain’s defensive record makes them a good candidate to win by at least two, especially if they score first and force Uruguay to chase.

Prediction

Spain -1 • Odds 1.82 • Confidence 7/10

Odds are valid as of June 25, 2026, 11:10 CET.