VfL Wolfsburg

vs

SP

SC Paderborn 07

Injuries & Suspensions

• VfL Wolfsburg: M. Arnold (Groin Injury), Cleiton (Ankle Injury), B. Dardai (Knee Injury), K. Fischer (Thigh Injury), Rogerio (Muscle Injury), J. Seelt (Knee Injury), Vini Souza (Yellow Cards), P. Wimmer (Thigh Injury), J. Wind (Muscle Injury)
• SC Paderborn 07: M. Baur (Yellow Cards), R. Obermair (Achilles Tendon Injury), M. Hoffmeier (Knee Injury)

Form (Last 5)

• Home: W D D L W

H2H (Last 5)

• 2022-01-04 · VfL Wolfsburg · 5-4 · SC Paderborn 07
• 2020-02-02 · SC Paderborn 07 · 2-4 · VfL Wolfsburg
• 2019-08-31 · VfL Wolfsburg · 1-1 · SC Paderborn 07
• 2015-05-10 · SC Paderborn 07 · 1-3 · VfL Wolfsburg
• 2014-12-14 · VfL Wolfsburg · 1-1 · SC Paderborn 07

Match Preview

Wolfsburg should edge Paderborn at home despite several absences; strong head-to-head and home advantage make the hosts favourites.

Key Notes

Preview: VfL Wolfsburg host SC Paderborn 07 with Wolfsburg expected to be favourites despite a difficult season. Wolfsburg’s season record shows 7 wins, 8 draws and 19 losses, underlining inconsistency, but available data and head-to-head history favour the home side.

Form and context: Wolfsburg arrive with a mixed record this campaign; their win total is low and they sit outside the provided top-10 standings, indicating a lower-table finish. Paderborn’s current away form isn’t available, which creates uncertainty, but promoted or lower-table visitors typically struggle at the Volkswagen Arena.

Injuries and availability: Wolfsburg have multiple absences: M. Arnold (groin), Cleiton (ankle), B. Dardai (knee), K. Fischer (thigh), Rogerio (muscle), J. Seelt (knee) and P. Wimmer (thigh) are all listed as missing, plus Vini Souza suspended by yellow cards. Those midfield and defensive losses are significant and could limit rotation and tactical flexibility.

Head-to-head: Historical meetings lean towards Wolfsburg. In five recent fixtures Wolfsburg recorded several wins (including a 4-2 away win in 2020 and a 5-4 home friendly in 2022) and one draw, showing they have generally outperformed Paderborn across encounters. That H2H advantage and familiarity at the Volkswagen Arena are key factors.

Why the pick: Despite the injury list and a poor overall season record, Wolfsburg’s psychological and historical edge over Paderborn, plus home advantage, make them the most likely winner. The home selection offers reasonable value at 1.75 and balances risk with historical evidence.

Risk factors: Large injury list and seasonal inconsistency reduce certainty; Paderborn could exploit gaps, and lacking their recent form makes this match less predictable. Overall confidence is moderate.

Prediction

VfL Wolfsburg win • Odds 1.75 • Confidence 6/10